May 13, 2019: Three and possibly four CMEs are en route to Earth following a series of explosions near sunspot AR2741. The most potent so far occurred on May 12th when a filament of magnetism surrounding the sunspot became unstable and erupted. The blast zone was more than 220,000 km in diameter:
Similar eruptions on May 10th, 11th and 13th combined with this one to produce a train of faint coronal mass ejections (CMEs) heading in our direction. The incoming CMEs are lightweights compared to the bright massive CMEs typically seen during Solar Maximum. However, their combined effect could rattle Earth’s magnetic field.
NOAA forecasters estimate a 55% to 60% chance of G1-class geomagnetic storms on May 15th and 16th. Isolated periods of even stronger G2-class storms are possible as well. Aurora Alerts: SMS Text.